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← From the desk of John C. Maine
The ValleyApril 9, 2025Β·5 min read

The Two-Week Window Nobody Uses

There are about fourteen days each spring and fall when replacing a system costs less, installs faster, and doesn't wreck your week. Almost nobody books them.

Every year in early April and again in early October, our schedule opens up. Heating season is done, cooling season hasn't started, and the crews have room. It happens like clockwork and almost nobody takes advantage of it.

It's not complicated why. Nobody thinks about their furnace in April. The thing that makes you think about your furnace is your furnace not working, and in April it doesn't have to work, so you don't think about it. Perfectly human. Costs people thousands of dollars a decade.

Here's what the shoulder season actually buys you. Distributor inventory is deep, so you get the model that fits your house instead of the model that's on the shelf. Lead time is days instead of weeks. Our crews are running one job a day instead of squeezing three, which means they take the extra hour to seal the plenum properly. And you're making the decision at a kitchen table with three quotes in front of you, rather than at nine at night in July with a sweating house and one contractor available.

That last one is the whole game. The worst prices in this industry are not charged by dishonest companies. They're accepted by desperate customers. A person with no heat in February and a newborn in the house will sign anything, and there are outfits that build their entire year around that signature.

I've been telling people this for thirty years and the behavior barely moves, so let me try a smaller ask. Don't replace anything in April. Just get it looked at. If your system is over twelve years old, have somebody put a gauge on it and tell you honestly how many seasons are left. Then you have a number, and you can plan around a number.

We charge for that visit and we don't apply high pressure to it, because a diagnostic that ends in 'you've got four good years, see you in the fall' is a perfectly successful visit as far as I'm concerned. That customer calls us in year four.

About the author

John C. Maine is the owner of Pace Heating & Air (Oregon OR CCB# 199564), serving Albany, Corvallis and the Willamette Valley since 1973. Five decades later: same valley, same phone number, twelve industry and community awards, and a policy of writing the price down first.

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